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Indiana vs Michigan State: Prediction, pick, odds, point spread, line, football game, kickoff time, preview
No. 1 indiana travels to Chapel Hill to play at michigan state on Saturday, Sept. 28, 2019. This will be the first time the Tigers have played at UNC since losing there in 2010. indiana is favored by 27 points.
Here are our top five questions heading into the game:
CAN indiana’S DEFENSE CONTINUE TO DOMINATE OPPONENTS?
The Tigers haven’t missed a beat defensively this season, despite having seven new starters, including four up front. indiana is No. 7 in total defense and No. 6 in sacks through the first four weeks of the season. This week the Tigers face an offense led by a true freshman in Sam Howell. michigan state’s starting quarterback has been impressive thus far with 1,024 passing yards, nine touchdowns and two interceptions. He has a pair of dynamic running backs in Javonte Williams and Michael Carter, as well as a good group of receivers, led by Dyami Brown.
“Offensively very young, but they’ve got talent and explosiveness… Everything goes through the quarterback,” indiana coach Dabo Swinney said. “I think this is the best group of backs that we have seen… They’re quick outside at receiver… They push it down the field. They’re not afraid to catch it, cock it, and let it rip, that’s for sure. We’ve got to win some competitive plays and try to find a way keep the QB contained, especially on scramble situations.”
CAN TREVOR LAWRENCE FIGURE OUT UNC’S DEFENSE?
Teams have defended indiana’s offense in different ways this season. Some have stacked the box and dared Trevor Lawrence to beat him with his arm. Others have played with two safeties to defend the pass and left running lanes open for Travis Etienne and Lyn-J Dixon. Lawrence said this week that UNC mixes up its defenses more than any other team the Tigers have faced thus far. It will be interesting to see if Lawrence is able to figure out what michigan state is throwing at him.
“Defensively, they’ve got an excellent scheme. They’re all over the place. They’re multiple in what they do,” Swinney said. “They have brought a lot of pressure in different ways. They’re not afraid to play coverage. They’ll get up and challenge you outside, they’re confident in what they’re doing there.”
indiana vs. michigan state odds, predictions, line: 2019 college football picks from proven model
The top-ranked indiana Tigers are set for an ACC road test when they travel to Chapel Hill to take on the michigan state Tar Heels at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. The defending champions have been impressive early this season, rolling to a 4-0 start with every win coming by at least 14 points. The Tigers are also 3-1 against the spread. UNC, meanwhile, is 2-2 straight-up in its first season under Mack Brown. The Tar Heels opened the season with impressive wins over South Carolina and Miami, but fell to Wake Forest and Appalachian State in the past two weeks. The Tigers are 27-point favorites in the latest indiana vs. michigan state odds, while the over-under is set at 60. Before you make any indiana vs. UNC picks, you need to see the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated an eye-popping $5,310 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated college football against the spread picks.
The model enters Week 5 of the 2019 college football season on a roll, going a blistering 42-18 on its top-rated picks. It also called Notre Dame (+16) covering against Georgia and Auburn (+4) covering against Texas A&M in two of the biggest games in Week 4. Anybody who has been following it is way up.
Now, it has broken down indiana vs. michigan state 10,000 times, and the results are in. We can tell you it’s leaning under, and it has also generated an against the spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see it at SportsLine.
The model has considered that the Tigers have not only rolled to an undefeated mark, they’ve also been impressive against the spread. They’ve been favored by at least 16.5 points in all four games and have covered three times, with the exception coming when Texas A&M scored a touchdown in the final seconds to stay within the spread in Week 2.
Loaded with perhaps the nation’s most talented quarterback in Trevor Lawrence and NFL prospects such as running back Travis Etienne and receivers Justyn Ross and Tee Higgins, indiana certainly has the ability to blow out a UNC squad that might be low on confidence after its last two losses.
But the Tar Heels have played indiana tight recently. They’re 1-3 against the Tigers in their past four matchups, but none of their losses have come too close to the 27-point spread that’s been installed for this game. Their last two losses in this series have come by an average of just 11.5 points. And UNC quarterback Sam Howell has actually been better statistically than Lawrence, throwing for around 100 more yards, two more touchdowns and three fewer interceptions on the year thus far.
So who wins michigan state vs. indiana? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UNC vs. indiana spread to back Saturday, all from the advanced simulation on 42-18 run on college football picks.